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BitMEX Study Finds Cryptocurrency Funding Rates Positive 92% of the Time, Revealing a Structural Market Bias

October 14, 2025 By GlobeNewswire

Understanding the Structure of Funding Rates

VICTORIA, Seychelles, Oct. 14, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- BitMEX, one of the safest crypto exchanges, announced today the findings of its study, "The Anchor and the Ceiling: Understanding the Structure of Funding Rates," which reveals that two structural forces are driving cryptocurrency funding rates to remain positive 92% of the time and that rates above the 0.01% baseline are often short-lived. The report outlines how crypto traders can leverage this predictable dynamic to adopt sophisticated, structure-based trading.

Since BitMEX invented the perpetual swap nine years ago, the market has evolved significantly. Now, dedicated funding rate trading markets are emerging, allowing traders to speculate on the market's underlying mechanics. Funding rates, the periodic payments that keep futures prices aligned with spot prices, have become a key indicator of market structure, offering insights that go beyond simple price sentiment.

The study, which analysed data from Q3 2025 across BitMEX, Binance, and Hyperliquid, uncovered several key insights:

  • The Structural 'Anchor' Keeps Funding Rates at 0.01%: The perpetual swap funding formula has a built-in interest component that acts as a gravitational pull towards a baseline rate of 0.01%. Data shows funding rates were positive for over 92% of Q3 2025, even when contracts traded at a slight discount.
  • The Arbitrage 'Ceiling' Caps Extreme Spikes: Large inflows of institutional capital create a hard ceiling for funding rates. This capital is rapidly deployed to short high-premium contracts, compressing rates back to the baseline. This ensures that extreme positive funding rates are short-lived and unstable.
  • BitMEX Leads in Funding Rate Stability: The analysis confirmed BitMEX exhibited the most stable and predictable funding rates for both BTC and ETH. The rate was exactly 0.01% for 78.19% of the quarter for BTC and 87.52% for ETH, demonstrating a highly efficient market where perpetuals consistently track spot prices. In contrast, venues like Hyperliquid showed significantly higher volatility.

"As the inventors of the perpetual swap, we are witnessing its next major evolution – the rise of funding rate trading," said Stephan Lutz, CEO of BitMEX. "Our latest research moves beyond market sentiment to reveal the core mechanics driving this market. The 'anchor' and 'ceiling' are not theories; they are structural forces that create high-probability trading opportunities. This study underscores a new level of market maturity, where understanding the architecture is the key to success."

More details about the study can be found here.

About BitMEX
BitMEX is the OG crypto derivatives exchange, providing professional crypto traders with a platform that caters to their needs through low latency, deep crypto native liquidity and unmatched reliability.

Since its founding, no cryptocurrency has been lost through intrusion or hacking, allowing BitMEX users to trade safely in the knowledge that their funds are secure. So too that they have access to the products and tools they require to be profitable.

BitMEX was also one of the first exchanges to publish their on-chain Proof of Reserves and Proof of Liabilities data. The exchange continues to publish this data twice a week – proving assurance that they safely store and segregate the funds they are entrusted with.

For more information on BitMEX, please visit the BitMEX Blog or www.bitmex.com, and follow Telegram, Twitter, Discord, and its online communities. For further inquiries, please contact press@bitmex.com.

A photo accompanying this announcement is available at https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/292666bc-ef69-4dcb-aa85-7f2fa7daa3c2


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